National construction employment growth remained tepid in July, with approximately 6,000 net new jobs added on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to an analysis of data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The residential construction segment added 7,200 net new jobs in July, but employment in the nation’s nonresidential construction sector declined by 1,700 positions after 9,900 jobs were added on net in June.
The construction industry unemployment rate, which is only available on a nonseasonally adjusted basis, rose by four-tenths of a percentage point and now stands at 4.9 percent, above the national unemployment rate of 4.3 percent. In total, the nation added 209,000 positions in July and an average of 195,000 net new jobs during the past three months.
From an economy-wide perspective, the jobs report was just fine. True, significant wage growth continues to elude us, but unemployment fell, employment rose and the labor force participation rate edged higher to 62.9 percent. However, based on the data release, the story is not nearly as upbeat for nonresidential construction.
That said, one should not eliminate the possibility that the nonresidential construction job loss registered in July is largely a statistical anomaly. After all, industry employment expanded meaningfully the prior month. Is it likely that economic reality shifted so markedly during the course of a single month? Quite simply, it is not. Considering June and July jointly yields a number of important conclusions.
First, contractors continue to be busy on average and many continue to get busier. Based on construction spending data, this is particularly true for construction firms engaged in private as opposed to public sector work. Second, there still are people available to hire, though they are not in abundance, as indicated by the construction sector’s sub-5 percent unemployment rate. The primary issue for contractors has not revolved around the availability of people looking for work, but rather the availability of people with the requisite skills or the willingness to master them.
Finally, it is important not to make too much out of one month of data. Putting too much weight on a single data release results in narratives that shift far more rapidly than the actual state of the nonresidential construction sector. Considered in totality, there is reason to believe that demand for construction services, particularly private demand, will continue to expand over the near term.
Anirban Basu is chief economist with Associated Builders and Contractors.